Thursday, October 15, 2009

Does Malaysia Have What It Takes To Become An International Real Estate Destination

Resounding Yes, based on the following:

1. High Real Estate Transparency (Tier 2 with Japan)
2. Fantastic Infrastructure
3. High English Speaking Content
4. Freehold ownership possible
5. Landed ownership possible
6. International accessibility with strong financial market

Notwithstanding, the following has to be addressed:

1. Red Tape for transactions
2. Immigration Efficiency
3. Telling our story right

I am off to London next week for Malaysia Property Inc's initiative in an real estate exhibition in London. So far MPI has been sterling in its approach, though still very "association" thinking and not business minded, but they are doing a great job.

We have already registered buyers for St Mary Residences that we are launching next week there for E&O and this bodes well for the Malaysian Real Estate Markets.

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Thursday, September 17, 2009

Are Hotels Good Investments?

Investments in the hospitality industry i.e. hotels and resorts, are very unique because of the combination of real estate and business investments. Many attributes of a business is displayed together with a high capital outlay that is a norm in real estate investments. However, rentals of resort and hotel rooms have a short shelf life as guests stay for only a day, minimum. Rental rates can also rapidly increase (ie, during festive seasons.) This varies from other forms of real estate investments. Another factor that is alien to other forms of real estate investment is the management and the amount of labor involved in hotels and resorts. This can directly contribute to the value of the property, offering a fantastic turn around capability and therefore, a potential for real estate investments.

Hotels and resorts though complicated are very high cash-yielding investments that require specialized operation expertise. To help you make a sound hotel investment, we have outlined some basic criteria to ensure that the investment is a true winner.

Varied Market & Geographical Segments. Avoid hotels that depend on just one market segment (corporate, government or leisure). This provides relief from a downturn of either travel sectors. Likewise, ensure the hotel is not overly dependent on tourists from a single region as it runs a risk of low occupancy should any political problems arise.

Varied Source of Business. Ensure there is a varied source of dealers. i.e. from a variety of travel agents, internet engines and direct bookings. Just as above, you do not want to be overly dependent on one source.

Choice of Management Company. In many cases, the investor and the manager are two separate parties. You must fully understand the capability and reputation of the management company. The best way is to request for their portfolio of hotels and analyse the performance statistics i.e. revenue is maximized and expenses optimized.

Thorough Diligence. Caveat emptor and give yourself enough time to thoroughly “understand” the property. Conduct a thorough marketing, financial, legal and property audit that covers all licenses, approvals etc.

Market Positioning. Ensure the property is well positioned and attracts the correct market segment. You might not want your hotel perceived as a 'Meeting & Convention Hotel' when its capacity for such a market is limited or its a purely leisure hotel. You would need to investigate the markets and the properties positioning/branding in the market.

Easy Exit Strategy. Of course as an investor, you must also think of the eventual sale of your property. To attract a variety of buyers, ensure the structure of the purchase entails an easy termination of the management contract./franchise agreement, funding prepayment or assignment and minimal tax exposure.

Other Issues. Other pertinent issues to look at include accounting systems, maintenance and energy management, food and beverage quality and concepts and reporting systems.

But what makes a hotel successful? End users, that is hotel guests, are becoming more sophisticated. In Kuala Lumpur, where majorities of the hotel guests are business travelers, there is a need to tailor products to meet the more discerning and specialised needs of business travelers in order to achieve success. This includes business facilities and services, IT and multimedia facilities.

Other considerations for a successful product include:

Market driven design which is attractive and efficient
International accessibility
Highly service orientated which is personalised
High quality of facilities and services
Effective packaging and marketing
Easy access and egress
Technology orientation.

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Monday, August 10, 2009

Property Market Holding On Well

In December 15th 2008, I issued a press release and also had a press conference. In this press conference, it was where we stated that the market for 2009 will be

  • Stable with no crashes
  • Prices will mainly drop for KLCC and Mont Kiara with no prices dropping below launch prices
  • Landed Properties prices will in fact inch up in 2009
  • There will be a flurry of launches after Chinese New Year 2009

In February 2009, we in fact stated that the KLCC and Mont Kiara markets have bottomed out and prices will be flat in 2009, pick up in 2010 and a mini boom in 2011

Many, including my fellow professionals thought I lost it and that I was an eternal optimist, whilst in reality I am just a realist and with strong pulse in the local market. I was call a contrarian, a brave man and many others, but it does fell good now, with the market reacting to how we have said it would.

E&O launched the St Mary Residences successfully a month ago and a week ago so the Temasya Glenmarie launch seeing people queueing a week to buy properties worth RM850k and above. SP Setia and Sime Darby have collectively sold more than RM2B worth of properties since after Chinese New Year, indicating a strong interest in the property market.

How is the market like moving forward? We still maintain that prices will be flat this year, with good landed properties inching up, prices will begin to move first quarter next year and peak in 2011/2012.

Major locations to look at include Klang Valley, Iskandar Malaysia, Penang Island and Kota Kinabalu. Landed properties, condos and office spaces are seen as investments to be focused on.

Issues to be concerned about are third party external factors that could drag the Malaysian market behind such as serious natural disasters in the region, H1N1 turning into a major pandemic in the region like SARs etc.

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Tuesday, June 2, 2009

Budget Hotels To Be Next Growth Market In Asia

Budget Hotels, long associated in Malaysia with cheap day stay rates and hourly use, is set to be the next growth market in Malaysia and Asia. With comfortable, clean accommodation and convenient service at an inexpensive price, budget hotels are becoming increasingly popular. The term also refers to hotels which provide limited but professional services, and satisfy customers' basic accommodation demands with reasonable prices. Unlike star hotels, budget hotels do not provide business or entertainment facilities such as business centres, conference halls, swimming pools and health-centres. The major features of the budget hotel are economical price, cleanliness, safety and convenience.

In foreign markets like the European Union and the United States, the budget hotel is a major business model, accounting for 70 per cent of the hotel industry. For example, the international hotel giant Accor has 71 Ibis inns in Paris, a city with a population of some 4 million as compared to a grand total of only 25 budget hotels in Kuala Lumpur. In fact, the total room count of budget hotels in Malaysia is a total of 5,801 rooms amounting to 3.99% of total hotel rooms available in Malaysia.

Notwithstanding the current size of the market, both regional and global hotel groups are already targeting budget travelers with the launch of economy brands and this new sector will spur intra-regional and inbound travel. There is at present huge gap in the market for branded budget hotels that I believe are essential to maintain visitor growth to Asia.

I have noted the growth in the mid-scale segment in Asia as well as a boom in pan-Asian tourism – which made me realise that it is viable for investors to invest in budget hotels in Asia to provide quality service with value for money. The budget hotel sector, which taps the growing number of business class travelers and tourists who want economical but comfortable accommodation in cities, has much more room to develop.

And this opportunity gap has not escaped the bigger brands in the region. The first Express by Holiday Inn has already opened at Knowledge Village in Dubai last year with 240 rooms, and there are plans for up to 20 properties in the Asia, as well as a further 20 in Middle East, an expansion plan also taken by Centro by Rotana, the UAE hotel group’s new economy brand.
The average room rates across the region have been rising steadily but there are no branded three-star economy hotel chains operating across Asia. Travelers have to pay a high rate and stay at a full-service four/five star hotel, or pay the ‘economy’ price and stay at a sub-standard hotel which allows a great opportunity for hotels of this nature in this region.

I am also of the opinion, that budget hotels in this region will most probably adhere to slightly different standards to those elsewhere, with larger sized rooms, additional cupboard space, shower only bathrooms, business laundry service and high speed Internet connections along with small meeting rooms within an efficient business centre, a mini-gym, connecting rooms (for many traveling Asian families) and shuttle transfers to the airports.

But, while the full service but low cost model is the route taken by some of the leading hotel operators – Accor has announced plans to add 200,000 new rooms over the next four years, of which half will be in the budget sector – several “mavericks” will revolutionise the low-cost hotel sector with radically different products.

Chairman of the Easy Group, Stelios Haji-Ioannou has launched his budget hotel concept in the Middle East, starting in Dubai in a bid to slash the cost of accommodation. The first easyHotel in Dubai will be opening this summer. The low-cost franchise is expected to operate offering rooms as low as US$20 a night. easyGroup’s budget hotel company easyHotel Ltd has also decided to venture into India. easyHotel has formed a JV with Istithmar PJSC, an investment house based in the UAE focusing on private equity and alternative investments, for setting up eight budget hotels across India in the next four years.

The alliance also plans to open more easyHotels in the Middle East, North Africa, Levant and Pakistan over the next five years. Initially, the two companies will establish four easyHotel properties in Delhi, Mumbai, Chennai and Kolkata by end 2010. Next in the pipeline would be four more budget hotels in the following year.

In December 2007, Istithmar had raised its stake in low-cost carrier SpiceJet to US$50 million. Now, it has come up with even bigger plans for hospitality sector in India. Bringing the easyHotel chain to India will alleviate the acute shortage of rooms available to the budget traveler. With its no-frills, economical prices and low overhead costs, the easyHotel brand is perfectly suited for budget travelers in Asia. A typical easyHotel provides 80 to 120 rooms in city centre each measuring about 12 square metres in three categories - small, very small and tiny. Since the hotels will be in the city centre, the guests can go to any of the eating joints in the city for meals. What is provided is a safe and clean option to sleep.

Closer to home, low-cost airline AirAsia Bhd chief executive officer Tony Fernandes has also ventured into the budget hotel business, Tune Hotels. Fernandes is in this business in his personal capacity and to synergise with that of AirAsia’s. As per the information available, a chain of between 60 and 70 budget hotels is being planned further, to leverage its existing hotels. Each hotel will has between 100 and 250 rooms, depending on their locations and the hotels are charging a room rate of between US$13-$26.5. The budget hotel business will complement AirAsia’s, which now is the region's most successful low-cost carrier. Many budget travelers prefer to book their airline tickets and hotels together and Fernandes offers AirAsia customers the facility of making room reservations online as they book their flights.


Most budget hotel investors want to capitalise on the aviation boom in Asia and will even look at joining hands with some of the Budget airlines in the market for joint promotions.
Further abroad, the Kuwait-based IFA Hotels & Resorts has made a major investment in the small-capsule room style hotel brand, YOTEL, with properties at Heathrow and Gatwick airports– raising the specter of the concept moving in to Asia.

I am sure that Asia’s highly fragmented hotel sector, plagued by inconsistent service and poor management, is ready for the kind of good-value, branded hotels that swept through the North American market in the 1960s and 70s and the Europe in the 80’s, providing superior returns to an otherwise simple business model!!

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Monday, May 18, 2009

Hot Spots- Where to put your money in the residential market?

In my nature of business, I have been asked numerous times from family, friends and clients on where is the best location to invest in residential properties in Klang Valley. This article answers the question based on our analysis and projections of the market and also on current trends and lifestyle needs. Please note that we do not have any interest in these locations and our advice should be regarded solely as a general guide.

The Usual Suspects. These locations are for those who prefer to invest in proven locations i.e. conservative investors. Our top picks for the usual suspects are as follows:

1. Bangsar Baru, Bangsar Park & Bukit Bandaraya
2. Damansara Heights
3. Taman U Thant/Ampang Hilir
4. Mont Kiara-selected developmnts
5. Taman Tun Dr Ismail
6. Bandar Utama
7. Petaling Jaya especially Sections 5, 14, 16 and 17
8. SS2, Damansara Utama and Damansara Jaya
9. Subang Jaya and USJ – selected locations
10. Taman TAR & Ukay Heights
11. Taman Melawati
12. Bandar Sri Damansara
13. Cheras (especially Taman Midah, Taman Cheras, Bandar Sg Long, Bandar Tun Hussein Onn)

We are very confident that these locations still offer an upside in terms of capital appreciation and yields due to the limited supply within the said locations. The properties in these locations are also sizeable as compared to the newer products in the market. Even though standard 2 storey terrace houses in Bangsar are valued at above RM850,000, we anticipate these prices to appreciate further in the medium to long term.

The Underdogs. The following locations are locations, in our opinion, are underrated locations in the Klang Valley. We think these locations offer tremendous upside in the long term and are definitely worth a look. Our opinions are based on the main criteria of location, potential growth in and around the vicinity, quality of the product and neighborhood and of course future supply.

1. Medan Damansara. Just next to Bangsara and within the Damansara Heights vicinity. Its practically forgotten due to the perception that Damansara Heights only has bungalows. A sure winner in the long run.

2. Seputeh and Robson Locality. The most underrated location in Klang Valley. Linked by Highways and Public Transport, close to the traditional and upcoming Brickfields and close to the new Mid Valley and of course some very nice products. Also, there is lack of supply in this locale.

3. Taman Desa. Just like Seputeh, this location is so well connected you will be surprised when you pay it a visit. The homes are also very nice and spacious with ample amenities and facilities.

4. OUG, Taman Yarl and Taman Kanagapuram. The Oldies of Old Klang Road. Established neighbourhoods and recently being well connected with the highways and the New Pantai Expressway. The upgrading of roads to allow access to Petaling Jaya and the LDP has also done wonders for this place. Most importantly, the neighbourhoods are nice and mature with some good properties. For your information, Sunrise first condominium development was in Taman OUG

5. Serdang. Developments like Taman Univeristy Indah and Equine Park are really a breath of fresh air here. We choose Serdang as it is easily accessible to Putrajaya and also to KLCC and because of this, we do see big potential for Serdang. It is alsowell coneected by Highways and Public Transport. Moreover, it also has two Universities in the locality (Uniten and UPM) and history has always shown universities are growth centres to the locale it is in.

6. Puchong. Tesco and Jaya Jusco are here. Nothing more to say other than stick to good developers.

7. Jalan Ipoh 3rd Mile – 4th Mile. Some beautiful bungalows in this pocket of an unlikely location. Some bungalows are better due to its location of backing onto Sentul Raya. There are even some beautiful old single and double storey terrace houses that offer great potential. Only downside, it is very hard to come across properties for sale here.

The Upstarts. These are new locations and projects that we are confident will also give you some good returns as an investment.

1. Balakong/Seri Kembangan. Some beautiful projects here such as Gita Bayu (in our opinion one of the best property development in Malaysia) and The Mines Resort. The location and its commercial & industrial content makes it a nucleus for growth. We foresee this neighborhood to accommodate some very nice developments in the near future.

2. Sentul Raya. Hands down winner. YTL have even surpassed themselves in reviving the project into a lifestyle project community that will offer something for very occupant. There is also a new highway linking Sentul Raya to Jalan Kuching. We were only a bit sad that there are no landed properties, but even so, the amount YTL is priming this property, we strongly recommend a buy, especially Sentul West. You should arrange a site inspection with us to actually appreciate what YTL have done.

3. Mutiara Damansara. A very nice neighborhood development and also very well connected to Sprint, LDP and NKVE with The Curve, Ikea and Tesco here. All its launches have been runaway success.

4. Putrajaya. This is really a long-term investment but a sure one. About 40% of Putrajaya is Natural and its really a beautiful place to live in, offering everything you would ever want. The distance from Kuala Lumpur is the only hindrance at the moment, but with more government offices and MSC companies opening up in and around here, the upside is very obvious. Houses in Precinct 8, 9 and 10 are our favorites.

Choosing the right property investment is definitely challenging. With this in mind, it is always good to back up your decisions with ample information, a structured decision making process and reliable advise.

Saturday, May 16, 2009

Are Sales & Leasebacks Sustainable?

Over the past few years we have seen a variety of Sale and Leasebacks deals taking places, with funds and REITS purchasing the assets. But are these deals sustainable in the long run?

A Sale and Leaseback is the sale of an interest in a property and the subsequent leasing back of that same property. It is one of the best tools to use in generating capital from Real Estate. This form of financing starts as a sale and the seller then agrees to lease back the property being sold. Sometimes this leaseback can merely be a move to entice the buyer into the transaction. In its more effective use, the sale and leaseback is a technique that allows the seller to maintain the use of the property.

On the Corporate front, real estate sale and leaseback is when a business sells its commercial property for its fair market value and then immediately leases it back, but most importantly, the Corporate retains control of the property. Here are some of the resulting benefits of a Sale and Leaseback for a Corporation:
· Free-up capital for re-investment.
· Improve the balance sheet.
· Receive 100% of Open market value.
· Low payments with long terms (up to 25 yrs.).

This has become an increasingly popular means of generating capital for immediate use. A sale-leaseback vehicle unlocks the value in your real estate assets and provides you with immediate working capital.

What are the main parameters?
· Firstly determine the Open Market Value of the property
· Then you will need to ensure the existing or potential cashflow/opportunity cost in the said property.
· Then you determine the Yield that you will be providing and the basis of the yield i.e. Nett, Double Nett or Triple Nett. Based on this yields and cashflows,
· You will then need to structure the “deal” i.e. Vendor’s Obligations, Purchaser’s Obligations and in some cases, a third party “Lessee’s Obligations”.
· The next is of course to package the whole thing together


Issues to look out for in a Sale and Leaseback scheme include:
1. Term of Tenancy. The longer the better, but the norm is usually 3+3
2. Date of Commencement of Tenancy, usually on completion of the Sale
3. Rental Amount. It will usually be a percentage of the Purchase Price Acceptable percentage levels include 6%-8% on both gross and nett levels It is important to ensure what the percentage level is i.e. whether it is Gross or Nett. Do look out for what are the costs that you will have to bear, including Quit Rent, Assessment, Service Charges etc
4. When the Rentals are Paid. Payment mode will differ from Quarterly, Half Yearly or even Yearly in advance

There a lot of advantages in a Sale and Leaseback scheme, for both the Seller and the Buyer. However, the Sale and Leaseback is actually more complicated than it appears on surface. It requires good, sound structuring, packaging, marketing and possible legal and tax considerations.

So are they sustainable? From a general point yes, it is very sustainable. But things go wrong when market values are inflated by Vendors by providing unrealistic rental returns. Though in the short term this may look favourable to the investor, but post expiry of the tenancy, the Vendor will not be able to secure the same tenancy terms, leaving him stuck with an over inflated asset with lower than expected rentals. This is the danger of sale and leaseback arrangements....when the spirit of the deal is to over inflate.

The deal is the key...always ensure market values or at least realistic rentals to sustain the investment. We have already seen some local funds buying over inflated assets with unrealistic returns, only to realise thereafter....

Tuesday, May 12, 2009

KLCC - The Raw Truth

Malaysia is not spared in this global financial (please note its not an economic crisis) crisis and no doubt we are experiencing a slower growth and lesser transaction in real estate since late last year. The values have also dropped but at a reasonable rate as compared to other regional countries (Singapore – 40%). We reckon the prices have depreciated approximately 15%-20% in KLCC. Other locations have been holding well especially landed properties such as those in PJ, Cheras, Bangsar, Sri Hratamas, TTDI etc as they are less speculative. Currently, property prices in KLCC are averaging between RM700psf to RM1100psf depending on the development. The prices started to drop late last year the sub prime crisis hit Singapore and Hong Kong badly and the speculative investors from these countries started selling their assets

We remain rather positive on the overall market especially in prime locations. Lately, we have notice many opportunistic buyers (local & foreigners) trying to purchase condominiums in KLCC, Sentul and Mont Kiara, indicating the markets have bottomed out. The demand has created a strong resistant on price depreciation, which is very positive for the property market.

On whether the price to increase to that of 2007 level for developments in KLCC, it’s a resounding “Yes”, but on selected developments. Please note that not all developments will be successful. Good products with good management will differentiate the best from the rest.

We do not expect any further price depreciations, if any to a maximum of 5%, and are even confident that the better developments will see prices inching up.

Singapore Dollars is still relatively strong, therefore, the property prices in Singapore is still very expensive. Even on a dollar to dollar, the best development in KLCC is in excess of SGD3000psf as compared to The Binjai at RM2800. Both countries and market provide different avenue for investment. Malaysia market is more stable and price appreciation is stable unlike Singapore which is a very speculative market on the high end condominiums.

As the property prices continue to appreciate, we will be experiencing a lower yield on rentals. Nevertheless, this can be offset with the stable growth in capital. In fact, we are projecting a better yield as property prices have came down. We used to project 7% to 8% yield but due to slower demand and supply of condominium coming into the market, we are anticipating 5% to 6% now.

For eg. A unit in Dua Residency of 2098sf can fetch a rental of RM8500 per month and the recent sale price here is RM850psf. This will provide a gross yield of 5.7%.

Most existing developments enjoy good occupancy.
Park Seven : 77 %
Dua Residency: 90%
Marc Residence : 60%

On the average, we are projecting an average of 60% to 70%,


Current Supply in KLCC : appx 4,000 units

New supply (under construction) : 3,698 units

Future supply (yet to be launched but approved) : appx 1,500 units

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